четверг, 15 марта 2012 г.

Diamond in rough a scout's best friend: Baseball draft has fewer sure things, more late surprises

War rooms, draft boards and big bucks are all part of draft-daydrama ... in baseball. When it comes to amateur drafts, the NFL andNBA get all of the attention. And there's a good reason the baseballdraft barely gets noticed beyond the first round.

For every Derek Jeter (1992 by the Yankees) and Derrek Lee (1993by the Padres) taken in the first round, there are too many playerssuch as Brien Taylor -- taken first overall by the Yankees in 1991and never able to move beyond Class A -- who litter the landscape.

At a time when switch-hitting outfielder Joe Borchard -- perhapsthe most expensive first-round bust ever -- is searching for a newhome, it becomes relevant to …

ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL IN NEW HAMPSHIRE Primarily New Hampshire, Meryl Levin and Will Kanteres, 224 pages, $35, July 2004, Third Rail Press.

Political junkies already yearning for the 2008 New Hampshire primaries will find appealing Meryl Levin and Will Kanteres' new book, "Primarily New Hampshire: A Year in the Lives of Presidential Campaign Staffers Explored in Photographs and Words."

The book focuses on the lives of presidential campaign staff members. The subject clearly captures the imagination of Levin, a social documentary photographer, and Kanteres, a New Hampshire native and political activist who worked on the 1980 presidential campaigns for Gov. Jerry Brown as …

Iraq, US agree on security pact final draft

A senior aide to Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki says Iraq and the United States are now in agreement over a final draft of a security pact that would allow American troops to stay in Iraq for three more years after their U.N. mandate expires Dec. 31.

He says copies of the agreement will be distributed to Cabinet members later Saturday after a final revision of the …

Smithsonian Delta Queen cruise on tap

CINCINNATI Some spaces are still available for the SmithsonianInstitution's study cruise on the steamboat Delta Queen Sept. 11-19.The Delta Queen will travel four rivers, the Ohio, Cumberland,Tennessee and Mississippi. …

среда, 14 марта 2012 г.

Hopkins Outpoints Wright for Upset Win

LAS VEGAS - Bernard Hopkins outfoxed age and Winky Wright the same way: First with his head, then with his heart. The 42-year-old Hopkins earned another stunning victory in the twilight of his career Saturday night, ending Wright's 7 1/2-year unbeaten streak with a unanimous decision in their 170-pound fight at the Mandalay Bay Events Center.

Hopkins (48-4-1, 32 KOs) landed his biggest blow when he opened a gash over Wright's left eye with a head-butt in the third round. Hopkins spent the night picking at it while Wright (51-4-1) scrambled and counterpunched.

Wright grew frustrated and tired in the late rounds, and Hopkins stuck with his patient, steady strategy in a …

Candidate for US Senate in Iowa arrested in Neb.

LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) — A write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in Iowa has been arrested on the University of Nebraska-Lincoln campus after allegedly threatening a student worker who was removing his campaign signs.

UNL's assistant police chief, Carl Oestmann (EAST-man), says 41-year-old Philip Storey, of Council Bluffs, Iowa, was being held Saturday in the Lancaster County jail.

Authorities didn't know …

Franklin, Benjamin

FRANKLIN, BENJAMIN

(b. January 17, 1706; d. April 17, 1790) Printer and publisher, scientist and inventor, ambassador and statesman, politician.

Benjamin Franklin's impact on America's independence movement and its aftermath cannot be overstated. Franklin fled Boston, the city of his birth, at age seventeen. In Philadelphia, after many false starts, he set up a flourishing printer's shop on Market Street and married Deborah Read, retiring at age forty-two. With his son William, he conducted his famous kite experiment demonstrating the connection between lightning and electricity, which immediately garnered him international fame as a scientist. He also began his political career by winning a seat as Philadelphia's representative to the Pennsylvania legislature. He organized the colony's militia at the beginning of King George's War, presented his abortive "Plan of Union" to the Albany Conference in 1754, and spearheaded the drive …

SOUNDOFF: HOW YOU SAID IT

Last week's question:

Will the recent bankruptcy filings of national retailers make it harder for midstate malls to keep their occupancy rates up? Why or why not?

NO: "Retailer dropout is nothing new to the mall business. It is something that is planned for by mall owners based upon their research and ongoing communication with the retailers prior to the beginning of each year. The midstate area is healthier economically than other areas of the country. Retail sales continue to do well here, even in downturns. With the exception of a total bankruptcy and national chain failure, when retailers review their portfolio to make decisions on which stores to shutter, their presence …

Kings Beat Lakers 114-113

Sacramento's Beno Udrih made two free throws with 4 seconds remaining, and Los Angeles' Kobe Bryant missed an 18-foot jumper at the buzzer Sunday night in the Kings' 114-113 victory over the Lakers.

Udrih finished with 25 points for Sacramento, winning for just the second time in nine games, a stretch that …

Drunk quit siege for a fag and can of fanta A Drunk brought a stand-off with police to an end by asking for a can of Fanta, a court heard.

A Drunk brought a stand-off with police to an end by asking for acan of Fanta, a court heard.

Patrick O'Neill barricaded himself on the balcony of his friend'sseventh-floor city flat after a party in the early hours of April 29.

Police were called to Kings Court tower block when the 31-year-old started throwing objects off the balcony.

But when officers arrived he threatened to jump and threw asyringe at an officer. Expert negotiators were called and it tookhours to coax him out.

He finally gave himself up for some fizzy juice and cigarettes.

O'Neill appeared at Aberdeen Sheriff Court yesterday where he wassentenced to five months in …

Shaping the Audit Committee Agenda

Shaping the Audit Committee Agenda

by Anthony V Nicolosi and Andrew P. Redrup, principal authors, and Norman Norinksy, assistant writer and editor

Published by KPMG LLP

73 pages

free

The audit committee plays a crucial role in …

Survey: Most Haiti text donors have given since

NEW YORK (AP) — The massive earthquake that devastated Haiti two years ago prompted an outpouring of charitable donations and propelled a new way of giving — through text messages — into the public eye.

A new study from Pew looks at people who sent text donations to help Haiti and agreed to be contacted for a survey. It finds that 80 percent of those surveyed did not donate money …

An overview of clinical governance policies, practices and initiatives/IN REPLY

TO THE EDITOR: Braithwaite and Travaglia make some telling points in their article "An overview of clinical governance policies, practices and initiatives".1 However, while they have identified many of the key components of clinical governance, they have underplayed the role that collaborations and partnerships have in ensuring the quality of clinical care. Braithwaite and Travaglia suggest that corporate governance is about what happens in the board room and clinical governance is what happens at the clinical level of the organisation.

The governors (in some cases this is the Boards; sometimes, the executive group) and the clinicians are equally responsible for the quality of clinical care that is provided in the organisation. They have different roles and use different strategies, but for many initiatives they must combine forces. We should not see governance in hierarchical but in partnership terms.

Clinical governance was first defined for an Australian health care setting in the New South Wales Health clinical governance policy2 "A Framework for Managing the Quality of Health Services in NSW". This framework clearly identifies the structures and processes that the governors need to have in place at the organisational level (which of course also relate to the clinical level) for ensuring effective clinical governance. The companion document to this policy, "The Clinicians Toolkit for Improving Patient Care"3 then identified the clinician-level processes and activities that must be in place to ensure that clinicians discharge their responsibility for achieving, maintaining and improving the quality of clinical care. Together, these became the seminal documents for expressing clinical governance in Australia, were influential throughout the country and were relied on by others in international jurisdictions to shape their policy processes.

Another elegant framework that was published subsequently, and followed the principle of collaborative responsibility, is that which is contained in the Australian Council on Healthcare Standards EQuIP 4th edition standards.4 These standards and their organisation provide a practical means of achieving good governance in a health care organisation. The standards are divided into three categories.

* The first contains the clinical standards; the standards for which (mostly) clinicians are mostly responsible

* The third contains the corporate standards; the standards for which (mostly) the governors or managers of the organisation are mostly responsible

* The middle category contains the support standards; those standards for which they are together responsible.

The combination of the first two categories, clinical and support, represents clinical governance and the combination of the second two categories, support and corporate, represents corporate governance. This is one of the easiest ways of describing corporate and clinical governance.

Clearly, there are many models by which to conceptualise clinical governance. Braithwaite and Travaglia have done us a great service in analysing relevant literature and providing a model which can be used to appreciate many of the strategies to achieve effective clinical governance. The key is to complement what they have given us by having both a framework to set the scene and a set of tools by which to implement their core ideas.

Maureen E Robinson

Director

Communio

Sydney, NSW

Maureen.Robinson@communio.com.au

1 Braithwaite J, Travaglia JF. An overview of clinical governance policies, practices and initiatives. Aust Health Rev 2008; 32: 10-22. Available at: http:// 203.147.135.205/publications/articles/issues/ahr_32_ 1_0208/ahr_32_1_010.asp (accessed Jun 2008).

2 NSW Health. A framework for managing the quality of health services in NSW. Sydney: NSW Health, 1999. Available at: http://www.health.nsw.gov.au/quality/ pdf/framework.pdf (accessed Jun 2008).

3 NSW Health. The clinician's toolkit for improving patient care. 2001. Available at: http:// www.health.nsw.gov.au/pubs/2001/pdf/clinicians_ toolkit.pdf (accessed Jun 2008).

4 Australian Council on Healthcare Standards. The ACHS EQuIP 4 Guide. Part 1. Accreditation, standards, guidelines. Sydney: ACHS, 2006.

IN REPLY: Robinson raises an important issue in her response to our article "An overview of clinical governance policies, practices and initiatives."1 Her statement "there are many models by which to conceptualise clinical governance" strikes at the heart of both the question at hand, and the intent of our paper.

The main objective of our paper was to explore the concept of clinical governance, as outlined in the current literature, for the benefit of governing boards and bodies. As with any complex construct, multiple perspectives are possible. In examining the literature from this point of view we were seeking to fill a gap in the review literature and provide directors and executives with a framework for discussion about this relatively new, but well accepted, concept.

Robinson is right to draw our attention to the importance of the partnership between directors and clinicians to the quality of care. Clinical governance brings together two fundamental operating principles of health care: corporate governance and professional responsibility. It is in the connection between these two that clinical governance is enacted, or it ought to be. Our paper analysed the literature on clinical governance from the perspective of governing boards, but it is the structural, organisational and managerial relationships between these bodies and clinicians that makes clinical governance something more than another top-down management strategy.

This is the point we believe Robinson is making by drawing attention to documents such as the NSW Health clinical governance framework2 and the Australian Council on Healthcare Standards' EQuIP 4.3 It is publications such as these which make visible the mutual dependence of boards, clinicians and most importantly, patients. We hope in future papers to re-examine the clinical governance literature from these perspectives.

Joanne F Travaglia

Research Fellow

Jeffrey Braithwaite

Professor and Director

School of Public Health and Community Medicine

and Centre for Clinical Governance Research

University of New South Wales

j.travaglia@unsw.edu.au

1 Braithwaite J, Travaglia JF. An overview of clinical governance policies, practices and initiatives. Aust Health Rev 2008; 32: 10-22. Available at: http:// 203.147.135.205/publications/articles/issues/ahr_32_ 1_0208/ahr_32_1_010.asp (accessed Jun 2008).

2 NSW Health. A framework for managing the quality of health services in NSW. Sydney: NSW Health, 1999. Available at: http://www.health.nsw.gov.au/quality/ pdf/framework.pdf (accessed Jun 2008).

3 Australian Council on Healthcare Standards. The EQuIP 4 Guide. Sydney: ACHS, 2006.

Paramedic steps down

THE retirement dinner for Cardigan paramedic Pete Barker tookplace at the Grosvenor Hotel on Friday night after he had served for30 years with the Welsh Ambulance Service based at Cardigan Station.

His family, friends and colleagues joined him to celebrate hislong career and he was presented with a wristwatch to mark theoccasion.

Pete spoke about his career, which followed 14 years with theRoyal Air Force Medical Branch. He said he had been honoured andprivileged to serve his community and had made many friends over theyears.

Pete will be enjoying his retirement with his family in hisCardigan home and continuing his fundraising efforts for the BritishHeart Foundation as chairman of the local branch which he formed 25years ago.

вторник, 13 марта 2012 г.

A public policy up in smoke/Une politique publique qui part en fumée

Canada has apparently decided to forego updating and enhancing the warning labels on cigarette packs in spite of evidence of their usefulness in the fight against smoking and of years of testing of new messages and images by Health Canada at substantial cost. The war on tobacco is by no means won. It remains one of the most important preventable causes of death, disability and lost quality of life in the country. Although smoking prevalence has declined over the past several decades, about one in five Canadians still smoke. Much progress can still be achieved to reach more addicted smokers who have found it difficult to quit and to prevent smoking uptake by youth.

Past successes in the fight against tobacco result from a comprehensive set of measures aimed, among other goals, at decreasing the social acceptability of smoking. The introduction of graphic images and enhanced warnings on cigarette packs has been an important component of Canadian tobacco control strategy and should be pursued with even more explicit messages and images. Although Canada pioneered the introduction of these labels over a decade ago, it is now rapidly falling behind other countries in this simple and effective smoking reduction strategy.

This change in policy is even contrary to the recommendations of the task forces created by the government to propose integrated and comprehensive strategies for cancer control and for cardiovascular disease control. Rather than acknowledging the benefits of strong and progressive tobacco control strategies, the government has stated that its new priority will be fighting the import of contraband cigarettes in the country. This new policy is more likely a smoke screen and its actions suggest that the true aim is to support the economic growth of the tobacco industry, even if it means undermining the health of Canadians.

While we should not expect all government decision making to be driven predominantly by public health consideration, there should be a minimum amount of common sense and decency when formulating policies which have important effects on the health of Canadians. Rather than trying to bolster death industries, such as big tobacco and the asbestos industry, the government should consider the impact of its policies on the health and wellbeing of its citizens, realizing that a healthy population is more productive and contributes to economic growth and social progress. We need more than ever to marginalize the tobacco industry, which has killed too many Canadians over too many decades.

Gilles Paradis

Scientific Editor

Une politique publique qui part en fum�e

Le Canada a, semble-t-il, renonc� � actualiser et � am�liorer les �tiquettes de mise en garde sur les paquets de cigarettes, malgr� les preuves de leur utilit� dans la lutte antitabac et les ann�es consacr�es par Sant� Canada � la mise � l'essai de nouveaux messages et d'images, � un co�t consid�rable. La guerre contre le tabac est loin d'�tre gagn�e. Le tabagisme est toujours l'une des plus importantes causes �vitables de d�c�s, d'invalidit� et de perte de qualit� de vie au pays. Bien que sa pr�valence soit en baisse depuis plusieurs dizaines d'ann�es, environ un Canadien sur cinq fume encore. Il reste beaucoup � faire pour joindre les fumeurs d�pendants, ceux qui ont le plus de mal � renoncer � la cigarette, et pour emp�cher que les jeunes ne commencent � fumer.

Les victoires pass�es contre le tabagisme ont �t� remport�es gr�ce � un vaste ensemble de mesures qui visaient, entre autres, � r�duire l'acceptation soci�tale du tabagisme. L'ajout d'images crues et les avertissements plus s�v�res sur les paquets de cigarettes ont �t� un important �l�ment de la strat�gie antitabac canadienne; il faudrait poursuivre dans cette voie avec des messages et des images encore plus explicites. Le Canada a �t� le premier pays � apposer ces �tiquettes il y a plus de 10 ans, mais d'autres en sont aujourd'hui rendus beaucoup plus loin dans l'emploi de cette strat�gie simple et efficace pour r�duire le tabagisme.

Ce changement d'orientation est contraire aux recommandations des groupes de travail cr��s par le gouvernement lui-m�me : ces groupes proposent des strat�gies globales et int�gr�es pour lutter contre le cancer et les maladies cardiovasculaires. Plut�t que de reconna�tre les avantages de strat�gies antitabac muscl�es et progressives, le gouvernement a d�clar� que sa priorit� sera d�sormais de combattre l'importation des cigarettes de contrebande. Cette nouvelle politique est probablement un �cran de fum�e; on voit d'apr�s ses interventions que son v�ritable objectif est de favoriser la croissance �conomique de l'industrie du tabac, m�me s'il faut pour cela miner la sant� des Canadiens.

Nous ne pouvons pas nous attendre � ce que le gouvernement prenne ses d�cisions principalement pour des raisons de sant� publique, mais il devrait faire preuve d'un minimum de sens commun et de d�cence lorsqu'il formule des politiques qui ont d'importants effets sur la sant� de la population canadienne. Au lieu d'essayer de stimuler des industries de la mort, comme les grandes compagnies de tabac et l'industrie de l'amiante, il devrait examiner l'impact de ses politiques sur la sant� et le bien-�tre de ses citoyens et se rendre compte qu'une population en bonne sant� est plus productive et contribue � la croissance �conomique et au progr�s social. Plus que jamais, nous devons marginaliser l'industrie du tabac, qui tue trop de Canadiens depuis trop longtemps.

Le r�dacteur scientifique,

Gilles Paradis

Schalke's Gavranovic gets 1st Switzerland call

BERN, Switzerland (AP) — Schalke forward Mario Gavranovic was named to Switzerland's squad on Friday for a 2012 European Championship qualifier in Bulgaria on March 26.

Switzerland coach Ottmar Hitzfeld selected the 21-year-old Gavranovic after his goal against Valencia last week helped Schalke reach the Champions League quarterfinals.

Gavranovic is among three uncapped players in the 21-man squad traveling to Sofia.

Johnny Leoni and Germano Vailati are drafted in because Hitzfeld's first-choice goalkeeper Diego Benaglio withdrew citing back problems.

Hitzfeld chose midfielder Valon Behrami for the first time since his first-half red card in a 1-0 loss against Chile at the World Cup last June.

Arsenal defender Johan Djourou was not included, despite initial hopes in Switzerland that he could recover from dislocating his right shoulder against Manchester United in an FA Cup defeat last Saturday.

Switzerland needs to beat Bulgaria after losing qualifiers against Montenegro and England. The five-team Group G also includes Wales.

___

Squad:

Goalkeepers: Marco Woelfli (Young Boys), Johnny Leoni (Zurich), Germano Vailati (St. Gallen)

Defenders: Stephan Lichtsteiner (Lazio), Stephane Grichting (Auxerre), Francois Affolter (Young Boys), Steve Von Bergen (Cesena), Reto Ziegler (Sampdoria)

Midfielders: Valon Behrami (Fiorentina), Gelson Fernandes (Chievo), Gokhan Inler (Udinese), Blerim Dzemaili (Parma), Pirmin Schwegler (Eintracht Frankfurt), Xavier Margairaz (Zurich), Xherdan Shaqiri (FC Basel), Valentin Stocker (FC Basel)

Forwards: Alex Frei (FC Basel), Marco Streller (FC Basel), Mario Gavranovic (Schalke), Hakan Yakin (Lucerne), Eren Derdiyok (Bayer Leverkusen)

Pipeline repaired as China works to contain spill

China National Petroleum Corp. said Thursday a vital pipeline has resumed operations after an explosion caused the country's largest reported oil spill.

Cleanup efforts _ marred by the drowning death of a worker, his body coated in crude _ continued over 165 square mile (430 square kilometer) stretch of water blanketed in thick, dark oil Thursday, after an official warned the spill posed a severe threat to sea life and water quality. The slick emptied beaches as its size doubled Wednesday.

It remained unclear exactly how much oil has escaped the pipeline six days after it exploded for reasons unknown at a busy northeastern port. State media has said no more oil is leaking into the Yellow Sea.

China Central Television earlier reported an estimate of 1,500 tons of oil has spilled. That would amount roughly to 400,000 gallons (1,500,000 liters) _ as compared with 94 million to 184 million gallons in the BP oil spill off the U.S. coast.

CNPC, which owns the pipeline at the port of Dalian, said more than 400 tons of oil had been cleaned up by 9 a.m. Wednesday, according to a report posted on its website Thursday.

The company, Asia's biggest oil-and-gas producer by volume, also said the pipeline was repaired and resumed operations Monday, now pumping 45,000 tons of crude oil a day. The blast had reduced oil shipments from part of China's strategic oil reserves to the rest of the country.

Greenpeace China released photos Wednesday of inky beaches and of straw mats about 2 square meters (21 square feet) in size scattered on the sea, meant to absorb the oil.

Fishing in the waters around Dalian has been banned through the end of August, the state-run Xinhua News Agency reported.

"The oil spill will pose a severe threat to marine animals, and water quality, and the sea birds," Huang Yong, deputy bureau chief for the city's Maritime Safety Administration, told Dragon TV.

Officials, oil company workers and volunteers were turning out by the hundreds to clean blackened beaches, but questions were raised about the effectiveness of the efforts.

"We don't have proper oil cleanup materials, so our workers are wearing rubber gloves and using chopsticks," an official with the Jinshitan Golden Beach Administration Committee told the Beijing Youth Daily newspaper, in apparent exasperation.

"This kind of inefficiency means the oil will keep coming to shore ... This stretch of oil is really difficult to clean up in the short term."

But 40 oil-skimming boats and about 800 fishing boats were also deployed to clean up the spill, and Xinhua said more than 9 miles (15 kilometers) of oil barriers had been set up to keep the slick from spreading.

The cause of the explosion that started the spill was still not clear. Friday's images of 100-foot-high (30-meter-high) flames at China's second largest port for crude oil imports drew the immediate attention of President Hu Jintao and other top leaders.

___

Associated Press writer Gillian Wong and researcher Yu Bing in Beijing contributed to this report.

DISCUSSIONS: "THE BOWIE DISCUSSIONS"

Tim Johnstone (AKA Record Exchange Guru and DJ) uses his insider knowledge to tell you what the folks are listening to.

"THE BOWIE DISCUSSIONS"

ZIGGY PLAYED GUITAR: Thirty years ago this week David Bowie released one of rock and roll's classic albums. With The Rise And Fall Of Ziggy Stardust and the Spiders from Mars, the man who sold the world with his different colored eyes and the haircut that launched a billion mullets and the glitter make-up and sparkling unitard, pretty much gave rock and roll the firm kick in the pants it needed at a time when the Beatles were moving on and the Carpenters were holding down the fort on middle-of-the-road radio stations across America. It has been a long strange trip since then (truth be told, it had been a weird adventure up to that point as well) and while it has been filled with moments high (the trilogy of albums that came out of his time spent in Berlin) low (the Labyrinth soundtrack anyone?), and in-between (too numerous to mention), it has never been boring.

EVERYONE SAYS HI: The once upon a Thin White Duke returns with a new album. Not just any album. Oh no. The marketing weenies at Columbia records have modestly branded Heathen "Classic Bowie, Circa 2002." And I guess I'm here to coax you back from the ledge. Before you heave into your red shoes and dance the blues let me assure you: They aren't far off the mark. This is the best thing he's released in forever. For one thing there isn't a toss-off track among the lot, which is something that couldn't be said about recent efforts Earthling and Outside. There is nothing here that qualifies as winceworthy (anyone remember the glass spiders number off Never let Me Down?). Truth be told, there are several great songs on Heathen. "Slow Burn" rates among Bowie's best four minutes, which is not a surprise considering the debt it owes to "Heroes" which is arguably the best of the best (Note the use of the disclaimer "arguably"). "Everyone Says Hi" is a smile-maker for a number of reasons, not the least of which being the "Aladdin Sane" backing vocals that wink at us mid-way through. And because Bowie has always had an ear for covers (I refer to "China Girl," "Across The Universe" and the entire Pin-Ups LP if anyone cares to ask) he smartly interprets songs from none other than Neil Young, The Legendary Stardust Cowboy and The Pixies. Congrats to a man who could simply rest on his considerable laurels, kick back and do the family thing. Instead, he's releasing a genius CD and headlining Moby's Area 2 tour this summer. Maybe there is something alien about him after all.

HOMETOWN HEROES PART THREE: When I haven't been listening to Bowie's latest, I've managed to spend enough time with a sampler I got from local boys The Peopleoids (a name snatched from a Bowie song no less) to know that I wish there was a full length CD to tell you about. Seriously.

Giants O-Line: rushing for 200-plus yards the norm

When the New York Giants offensive linemen walked into their group meeting a day after gaining 207 yards against Ray Lewis and a Baltimore defense that was the best in the NFL against the run, they didn't start by patting each other on the back.

That's not their style.

Instead, they teased each other about missed blocks and other missteps before getting serious and talking about the topic that is seemingly always on their minds: How to improve after leading Brandon Jacobs and stable of running backs known as "Earth, Wind and Fire" to a third straight 200-yard rushing game, something the Giants had not done in more than half a century.

Don't know this group that helped the Giants win the Super Bowl? Maybe it's time to learn their names, starting from left to right:

David Diehl, Rich Seubert, Shaun O'Hara, Chris Snee and Kareem McKenzie. They are tight-knit, hard-working, fun-loving and young enough to have a nice future in the NFL.

O'Hara is the old man at 31. Snee is 26, Diehl is 28, while Seubert and McKenzie each are 29.

"It's a lunchpail-type group," said backup tackle Adam Koets. "We hang out together. We do things together and there is that respect for one another. You go out and play for that guy next to you. You tell someone there is free food, and we are all going to show up."

NBC color analyst John Madden has already called them the NFL's best offensive line.

"Collectively those five guys are as good as any Pro Bowl offensive line you can put together," added Bart Oates, who was the center on the Giants' Super Bowl champion teams in the 1986 and '90 seasons.

What the line is doing this season is one for the books, literally.

New York (9-1) has rushed for 1,727 yards, a league-leading average of 172.7 yards. On the current pace, the Giants will gain 2,763 yards, breaking the team mark of 2,451 yards rushing set in 1985. They also are averaging a remarkable 5.3 yards per carry, which would be another team mark.

"They work as well together as any group I have ever seen," said coach Ken Whisenhunt, whose Arizona Cardinals will face the Giants on Sunday.

The game against the Ravens last weekend was special. Baltimore came into the weekend giving up an average of 65.4 yards. Jacobs got more than half that amount on the second play from scrimmage and the Giants finished with their fifth 200-yard game.

"The holes were gaping. Gaping," said Ravens defensive end Trevor Pryce. "If you give any NFL back holes like that, he's going to look like Gayle Sayers."

The day after the game, the statistics were forgotten.

"To be honest, the first thing we talked about with each other were the plays we did wrong, the things we could have done better or gotten more yards," said Snee, who is coach Tom Coughlin's son-in-law. "I guess in that regard we are greedy. We want to get as many yards as possible and to do that you have to be hard on yourself.

"We have guys who don't need anyone to tell them what went wrong," Snee added. "We know if our guy is the one who came off a block and made the tackle 30 yards downfield, we are kicking ourselves because it would have been a longer run."

With the exception of one or two games, the line has started intact almost every game for the past two seasons. Four of the five have been in the starting lineup since 2005, with Seubert being the exception. He missed almost two seasons after suffering a horrible broken leg in 2003.

"The biggest thing is they play as a unit," said Karl Nelson, a tackle on the Giants' first Super Bowl champion. "Back in '86, we had been together for 2 1/2 years and I can't say enough about knowing what the guy next to you is thinking, and knowing what he is going to do before he does it. You don't have to say a lot to communicate. You just know."

In the NFL today, that is even more important with opponents constantly moving players into gaps, blitzing and disguising their defenses.

Oates said once a play is called in the huddle, there can be anywhere from three to 10 looks a defense can show that could force the line to make an adjustment.

For example, a nose tackle could be straight up on the center or shade to the strong side or the weak side. The line has to adjust with each. The same thing with the linebackers' positioning.

The goal is to get the best angle to block the defender. So far, the angles have been excellent.

Jacobs is 121 yards short of a second straight 1,000-yard rushing season and his 11 TDs rushing are tied for the league lead. Derrick Ward (531 yards) has a shot at giving the Giants two 1,000-yard rushers and Ahmad Bradshaw is averaging 6.7 yards on his 45 carries.

"It all comes down to film work," Ward said of the line. "You can have all the strength in the world and if you don't know who you're supposed to block, everything goes out the door. It's more a mental game than a physical game. That's our O-line. They take pride in being mentally ready every week. It makes them happy for us to get the recognition because they know, like we know, it's really all on them making this offense go."

Quarterback Eli Manning also plays a big role. He has to read the defense and decide whether to keep the play, change the side it goes to or change from rush to pass or pass to run.

"He is the course director," McKenzie said. "He directs us in which way we are going, whether it's the high note or the low note or whether we are changing the tempo or whatever it may be. He leads it all."

And the line protects him like a little brother, veteran halfback Reuben Droughns said.

So far, Manning has been sacked 10 times in 10 games.

Oates said the current line is a cross between the Giants' lines of '86 and '90. The first one was more of a finesse line. The second was one that let everyone know they were going to run and did just that.

Nelson added this line stays on its blocks as well as any he has seen, noting in football today plays don't go to a specific hole. The line gets the defense going in a certain direction and the back picks the hole to go through.

"You have to get your hands in there, and you have to have great strength and great balance," Nelson said. "One thing people don't appreciate is the size and balance they have. When you are on a guy, you can feel what a running back is doing by feeling how the defensive man is anticipating and trying to get rid of you, and you can use that against him. That's what this line does very well."

Pat Flaherty is the coach who keeps them in line. He is a technician who likes to point out the subtleties of opposing defenses and the way the line will deal with them.

"The good thing about our line is that none of us is complacent or satisfied," Diehl said. "We know we can do things better. We're going to continue to work, whether it's in the meeting room, working on the field, doing extra drills. Whatever it takes to make sure we get it right and do it right. That's the blue collar attitude of this O-line."

The only team to hold the Giants under 100 yards rushing was Pittsburgh, who limited them to 83 yards on 35 carries.

"When teams know you are going to try to run and they are putting guys in there to stop it," Manning said, "and you continually are able to do it, it's impressive."

US praises Zimbabwe for progress toward reform

The U.S. on Saturday praised Zimbabwe's unity government for making progress toward reform as the African nation celebrated the 29th anniversary of its independence from Britain.

The congratulatory statement from Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton came one day after the State Department disclosed that it had lifted a travel advisory that warned Americans against visiting Zimbabwe. Still, the Obama administration said the political situation in Zimbabwe remains unpredictable and could deteriorate quickly.

Clinton said the U.S. commends "the efforts the transitional government has undertaken and the progress it has achieved toward reforms that will benefit the Zimbabwean people. The United States encourages the government to continue those important steps as it works for a more promising future for Zimbabwe."

The unity government was formed in February, after months of political deadlock and economic misery, with Robert Mugabe, in power since independence, as president and his nemesis Morgan Tsvangirai as prime minister.

Zimbabwe's government intends to relax media restrictions as part of a plan meant to restore basic rights, heal political scars and boost international trust, the state newspaper recently reported. Zimbabwe is desperate for foreign aid and wants to see an end to penalties imposed by the United States and European countries.

Clinton said the U.S. "has long stood with the people of Zimbabwe in their times of need and will continue to do so."

The State Department's traveling warning had cited government instability, a failing economy and the near collapse of the country's public health system.

Spokesman Robert Wood said Friday the department had canceled the advisory on April 8.

"The political-economic situation is still unpredictable but we lifted the restrictions because there was a return of basic medical, food and fuel services," Wood said.

He said the department would continue to monitor conditions inside Zimbabwe and would issue another travel advisory if necessary.

"We're just gauging the situation as we see it on the ground and responding accordingly," Wood said at his daily briefing.

On its Web site, the State Department advised that the "political situation in Zimbabwe remains fluid and subject to change at a moment's notice."

U.S. citizens should "carefully evaluate" their need to travel to Zimbabwe at this time, the department said.

___

On the Net:

State Department background on Zimbabwe: http://www.state.gov/p/af/ci/zi/

Manure provides essential nutrients for good garden soil

Many people are under the erroneous impression that you must havea good supply of manure to be able to grow ravishing roses, terrifictomatoes, and succulent strawberries. Some people even go so far asto keep cows, rabbits, chickens, or other farm animals mostly for themanure they can supply for the garden. Other people drive out tolocal farms for manure or buy manure packaged in plastic bags.

Manure makes good garden soil by providing nutrients, especiallynitrogen, and bulk. You could get the nutrients more easily, however,from a bag of fertilizer because manure is not nearly as high innutrients as bagged fertilizer.

What about that free fertilizer you get if you keep farm animals?The nutrients from such animals are determined by what you feed them.And because the animal must grow and run around, fewer nutrients comeout than went in. Plants would get more of the nutrients if theanimal feed was applied directly to the soil.

The other valuable part of the manure, the bulk, comes mostly fromwhatever bedding material is thrown on the ground beneath the animalto provide soft footing and absorb the manure and urine. Thatbedding, usually hay or wood shavings, is mostly cellulose. Cellulosefluffs up soils, helps hold moisture and feeds soil microorganisms.

But you do not need an animal to get the benefit from beddingeither. As with the animal feed, you could just use the beddingdirectly in the garden, bypassing the animal, with the same benefit.

That bulk is the most valuable component of the manure. After all,you can pick up a bag of fertilizer at a supermarket or drug store,but where do you get a truckload of cellulose? Search around a bit:leaves, wood chips, sawdust, and straw are also mostly cellulose,good for bulk, and often free for the hauling.

So although manure is not a necessity for a good garden, it isnonetheless a valuable material for its bulk and nutrients. But ifyou cannot get your hands or shovel on a supply, use straw, woodchips or any of the other bulky materials mentioned, either diggingthem into your soil, laying them on top of the ground as mulch ormaking them into compost. A sprinkling of fertilizer makes theseorganic materials into ersatz manure.

AP

понедельник, 12 марта 2012 г.

Moscow suburban city hall attacked amid protests

Moscow regional police say nearly one hundred men have attacked the city hall of a Moscow suburb, protesting plans to cut down the local forest.

The forest in the town of Khimki has been the focus of controversy for years over plans to clear much of it for highway construction. A local journalist who reported on the issue was beaten in 2008 and left crippled and brain-damaged.

Khimki police said about 90 unidentified men attacked the building Wednesday night with fireworks and spray-painted "Save Russian forests" on the facade.

He said police arrived on the scene minutes after the group left.

Police detained nine environmental activists who have lived in the forest hoping to stop the clearing. The activists deny involvement in the attack.

Feds OK Massachusetts ocean wind farm

BOSTON (AP) — A federal agency has approved a construction plan for a wind farm off the Massachusetts coast, clearing the way for work to begin on America's first offshore wind farm as early as this fall.

U.S. Secretary of Interior Ken Salazar made the announcement about the Cape Wind project in Boston on Tuesday. He says the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement has approved the plan.

Cape Wind plans to build 130 wind turbines in Nantucket Sound. But the wind farm still could face legal action from opponents who question the cost to ratepayers and the potential impact on wildlife.

Gov. Deval Patrick says in a statement that federal approval moves the region a step closer to benefiting from the clean energy and jobs that will be created by the project.

Orthographic neighbourhood effects in parallel distributed processing models

Abstract Recent research in visual word recognition suggests that the speed with which a word is identified is influenced by the reader's knowledge of other, orthographically similar words (Andrews, 1997). In serial-search and activation-based models of word recognition, mental representations of these "orthographic neighbours" of a word are explicitly assumed to play a role in the lexical selection process. Thus, it has been possible to determine the specific predictions that these models make about the effects of orthographic neighbours and to test a number of those predictions empirically. In contrast, the role of orthographic neighbours in parallel distributed processing models (e.g., Plaut, McClelland, Seidenberg, & Patterson, 1996; Seidenberg & McClelland, 1989) is less clear. In this paper, several statistical analyses of error scores from these types of

models revealed that low frequency words with large neighbourhoods had lower orthographic, phonological, and cross-entropy error scores than low frequency words with small neighbourhoods; and that low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours had lower error scores than low frequency words without higher frequency neighbours. According to these models then, processing should be more rapid for low frequency words with large neighbourhoods and for low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours.

A word's orthographic neighbourhood is classically defined as the set of words that can be created by changing one letter of the word while preserving letter positions (Coltheart, Davelaar, Jonasson, & Besner, 1977). For example, the words PINE, POLE, and TILE are all orthographic neighbours of the word PRE. In recent years, there have been a number of studies examining the effects of a word's orthographic neighbourhood on identification latencies (see Andrews, 1997, for a review), and a considerable, although sometimes contradictory, database on this topic has now emerged. Many models of the word recognition process do assume that the lexical representations of the orthographic neighbours of a presented word will be activated and will play an important role in the lexical selection process. In what follows, we first examine the predictions of serial-search models (Forster, 1976; Paap, Newsome, McDonald, & Schvaneveldt, 1982) and activation-based models (Grainger &Jacobs, 1996; McClelland & Rumelhart, 1981) with regard to orthographic neighbourhood effects. We then consider the role of orthographic neighbours in parallel distributed processing models (i.e., Plaut, McClelland, Seidenberg, & Patterson, 1996; Seidenberg & McClelland, 1989), which constitute the main focus of the present investigation.

ORTHOGRAPHIC NEIGHBOURHOOD EFFECTS IN SERIAL-- SEARCH MODELS

In serial-search models which incorporate a frequency-- ordered search through a candidate set of lexical entries (e.g., Forster, 1976; Paap, Newsome, McDonald, & Schvaneveldt, 1982), the size of a word's orthographic neighbourhood will influence the speed with which a correct match is found. More specifically, because a target word's orthographic neighbours will typically be members of an activated candidate set (due to their similarity to the target), increases in the number of neighbours will typically lead to increases in the size of the candidate set, which will in turn produce increases in the time required for lexical selection. According to serial search models then, words with large neighbourhoods should typically be processed more slowly than words with small neighbourhoods (such an effect can be referred to as "an inhibitory neighbourhood size effect").

Because the search through the candidate set is frequency-- ordered in these models, however, it is actually not the absolute neighbourhood size of a word that is critical, but the number of higher frequency neighbours in the word's orthographic neighbourhood. That is, only higher frequency neighbours would delay lexical selection, because only those candidates would have to be evaluated prior to the word itself during the frequency-ordered search for the target's lexical representation. Consequently, although large neighbourhoods would, typically, delay lexical selection (because words with large neighbourhoods usually possess higher frequency neighbours), it is not the existence of neighbours, per se, but rather the existence of higher frequency neighbours that produces a processing delay. Thus, a basic prediction that serial search models make is that words with higher frequency neighbours should be processed more slowly than words without higher frequency neighbours (such an effect is often referred to as "an inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect").

The literature to date has provided only minimal support for these predictions. Andrews (1989, 1992), for example, found that lexical decision and naming latencies for low frequency words with large neighbourhoods were shorter than those for low frequency words with small neighbourhoods, a result which is exactly the opposite of the inhibitory neighbourhood size effect predicted by serial-search models. (For high frequency words, neighbourhood size had little or no effect on response latencies. Thus, there is typically a neighbourhood size by frequency interaction.) Facilitatory neighbourhood size effects have also been reported by Forster and Shen (1996) and Sears, Hino, and Lupker (1995), with the latter investigators also reporting an interaction between word frequency and neighbourhood size. In fact, in a recent review of the existing literature, Andrews (1997) noted that virtually all of the studies which have examined the neighbourhood size effect with the lexical decision task have reported either facilitatory or null neighbourhood size effects, a situation which is clearly problematic for serial-search models.

On the other hand, there is at least some evidence for the existence of an inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect (Carreiras, Perea, & Grainger, 1997; Grainger, 1990; Grainger & Jacobs, 1996; Grainger, O'Regan, Jacobs, & Segui, 1989; Grainger & Segui, 1990; Huntsman & Lima, 1996; Jacobs & Grainger, 1992; Perea & Pollatsek, 1998). That is, all these studies seem to show that lexical decision latencies to low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours are slower than those to low frequency words without higher frequency neighbours. Further, using a multiple regression analysis, Paap and Johansen (1994) have reached a similar conclusion (although see Sears, Lupker, & Hino, in press, for an alternative explanation for this finding).

The story is not so simple, however, because it is complicated by the fact that the inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect is typically not observed in studies which use English stimuli (the majority of studies have used either French, Dutch, or Spanish stimuli). Indeed, as Andrews (1997) noted in her review, only two of the eight experiments that have examined the effect of neighbourhood frequency for English words in the lexical decision task have reported an inhibitory effect (Huntsman & Lima, 1996; Perea & Pollatsek, 1998). In the remaining experiments, null or facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effects were reported (Forster & Shen, 1996; Sears et al., 1995). For example, in the Sears et al. study, in which neighbourhood size and neighbourhood frequency were factorially manipulated, responses to words with higher frequency neighbours were actually faster than responses to words without higher frequency neighbours. The lack of a clear and consistent inhibitory effect of higher frequency neighbours coupled with the consistent finding of a facilitatory neighbourhood size effect would appear to cause severe problems for serial-- search models.

ORTHOGRAPHIC NEIGHBOURHOOD EFFECTS IN ACTIVATION-BASED MODELS

Although activation-based models of word recognition have fared a bit better, the situation is similarly complicated. The interactive-activation model (McClelland & Rumelhart, 1981) would seem to readily accommodate reports of facilitatory neighbourhood size effects (Andrews, 1989, 1992; Forster & Shen, 1996; Sears et al., 1995) because the orthographic neighbours of a word are assumed to contribute in a positive way to the activation of the word's lexical unit. More specifically, in this model, lexical selection is achieved when a word's lexical unit reaches a critical activation threshold. When a word is presented, activation starts to accumulate in the lexical units of both the presented word and its orthographic neighbours. These partially activated units send excitatory feedback back down to their sublexical units. In turn these units send activation back up to the lexical units, increasing lexical activation and, ultimately, helping to push the activation of one of those units over threshold.

According to Andrews (1989), everything else being equal, low frequency words with large neighbourhoods would benefit more from reciprocal activation than would low frequency words with small neighbourhoods, because a greater number of lexical units would participate in the reciprocal activation process. Thus, low frequency words should show a facilitatory neighbourhood size effect. In contrast, high frequency words, which are assumed to have higher resting activation levels than low frequency words, would be less sensitive to the effects of these lexical-sublexical reverberations, because they could reach an activation threshold quite quickly through direct activation alone. Thus, high frequency words should show no neighbourhood size effects as Andrews and others (e.g., Sears et al., 1995) have reported.

Reports of facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effects for low frequency words (e.g., Sears et al., 1995) could, in theory, also be explained by the same mechanism. That is, higher frequency neighbours, which possess higher resting levels of activation, could produce stronger top-down activation, which would accelerate the reciprocal activation process. On the other hand, Grainger and colleagues have instead argued that the interactive-activation model is ideally suited for explaining inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects. According to Jacobs and Grainger (1992), the intralevel inhibition between the lexical units of the model should delay the activation of a word with higher frequency neighbours. More specifically, when a neighbourhood is activated by a target word, each lexical unit begins to inhibit its neighbours. Because higher frequency neighbours have high resting levels of activation, they would be much more powerful inhibitors than lower frequency neighbours. Consequently, the lexical unit of a word with higher frequency neighbours would be subject to more inhibition, which should delay lexical selection. Simulations by Jacobs and Grainger indicate that their implementation of the model does in fact produce such an inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect. Interestingly, using the same parameter settings, Jacobs and Grainger's attempts to simulate facilitatory neighbourhood size effects were unsuccessful. This result led Jacobs and Grainger to the conclusion that the neighbourhood size effect did not reflect the activity of basic word recognition processes.

In a further attempt to address these issues, more recently, Grainger and Jacobs (1996) have proposed an activation-- based model which can apparently accommodate both facilitatory neighbourhood size effects and inhibitory (as well as facilitatory) neighbourhood frequency effects in lexical decision tasks. Grainger and Jacobs's "multiple readout" model is based on the architecture of the interactive-- activation model McClelland & Rumelhart, 1981), in which a set of lexical and sublexical units accumulates activation over time. The major assumption in the model is that facilitatory neighbourhood size effects in lexical decision do not actually arise during the lexical-selection process, but, rather, are due to a variable response criterion which is sensitive to the degree of overall lexical activation (the Sigma criterion). In contrast, Grainger and Jacobs have maintained the assumption that the inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect is a true lexical selection effect, resulting from intralevel competitive processes which occur during the process of lexical selection. As reported in their paper, with these two mechanisms and certain assumptions about how the nature of the nonwords affects relative use of these mechanisms, the model can be made to simulate both facilitatory neighbourhood size effects (e.g., Andrews, 1989); and inhibitory (e.g., Grainger et al., 1989), as well as facilitatory (e.g., Sears et al., 1995), neighbourhood frequency effects in lexical decision.

Unfortunately, the Grainger and Jacobs (1996) model still has some difficulties because it predicts that an inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect should occur not just in lexical decision but in any task in which unique word identification is required, such as semantic categorization or perceptual identification. Neither Forster and Shen (1996) nor Sears, Lupker, and Hino (in press) observed such an effect in their semantic categorization experiments. In addition, Sears et al. reported that words with higher frequency neighbours were identified more frequently than words without higher frequency neighbours in a perceptual identification task (i.e., they observed a facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effect). Thus, this model's ability to accurately simulate neighbourhood effects in tasks other than lexical decision appears to be somewhat limited.

Clearly, the fact that investigators have not yet established the empirical role of higher frequency neighbours makes it difficult to judge which particular model best accounts for the data. The situation is made worse still by the fact that these models do not make as unambiguous predictions as originally thought. For example, the interactive-activation model can accommodate facilitatory neighbourhood size effects or inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects, depending on whether top-down excitatory feedback or intralevel inhibition is assumed to dominate the model's behaviour (i.e., depending on how the parameter settings are selected). The predictions of serial-- search models can be just as ambiguous. Forster (1989), for example, has suggested that by altering some noncrucial assumptions in his version of the serial-search model, it would no longer predict inhibitory neighbourhood size or inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects. Nonetheless, due to the efforts of previous researchers, our knowledge about the constraints these models must work within when trying to account for orthographic neighbourhood effects has been significantly advanced.

ORTHOGRAPHIC NEIGHBOURHOOD EFFECTS IN PARALLEL DISTRIBUTED PROCESSING MODELS

In contrast to the efforts that have been put into understanding how serial-search and activation-based models would account for orthographic neighbourhood effects, those same effects in Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) parallel distributed processing (PDP) model have received relatively little attention. In this model, there are no abstract units corresponding to words. The representation of a word is encoded in the pattern of activity across an interconnected network of units. Experience with words during training produces changes in the weights between units, such that words which have been presented to the model many times will be better represented in the weights of the model.

To relate these patterns of activation to lexical decision and pronunciation latencies, Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) computed orthographic and phonological error scores, which are measures of how close the model's output is to the desired (correct) output. According to the model, lower orthographic error scores should correspond to shorter lexical decision latencies, and lower phonological error scores should correspond to shorter pronunciation latencies. Orthographic and phonological error scores are, of course, strongly influenced by the model's experience with words. For example, word frequency effects arise because the network is exposed to high frequency words much more often than low frequency words, and thus the model has more opportunities to encode their orthography and phonology. As a result, the model produces lower orthographic and phonological error scores for high frequency words.

With regard to the issue of neighbourhood size, Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) model would seem to predict a facilitatory neighbourhood size effect. More specifically, Seidenberg and McClelland reported that the mean phonological error scores for Andrews' (1989) low frequency words with large neighbourhoods were lower than those for her low frequency words with small neighbourhoods. Moreover, for high frequency words no such difference was apparent, which suggests that the model can successfully simulate the interaction between word frequency and neighbourhood size that Andrews reported (see also Andrews, 1992, and Sears et al., 1995). In fact, according to Andrews (1992), facilitatory neighbourhood size effects are a natural byproduct of this model. That is, words that are highly similar to one another would recruit similar units and connections during training, and so the representation of a word with many neighbours would be strengthened by the encoding of its neighbours. Thus, compared to words with small neighbourhoods, which would share connections with few other words, words with large neighbourhoods should exhibit lower phonological and orthographic error scores.

Sears et al. (1995) suggested that reports of facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effects could be explained by the model in a similar fashion. That is, low frequency words would benefit from the existence of higher frequency neighbours because these neighbours would be words whose representations have been encoded by the network many times. The strengthened connections between the units that encode the word's higher frequency neighbours will aid in a low frequency word's identification as well because many of the same units will be recruited by the word itself. Thus, large neighbourhoods and higher frequency neighbours should affect the model in a similar manner - by strengthening the connections among units that represent similar orthographies. In fact, Sears et al. found that the phonological error scores for their low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours were generally lower than those for low frequency words with no higher frequency neighbours.

In spite of these initial analyses, at this point these expectations about the model's behaviour are mainly still speculations because no comprehensive statistical analysis of orthographic neighbourhood effects in the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) model has been conducted. That is, although previous investigators have reported that phonological error scores for words with large neighbourhoods were generally lower than for words with small neighbourhoods, the generalizability of these observations is limited. This is because the observations were based upon the patterns of error scores for the small sets of stimuli used in those particular experiments. Moreover, with the exception of the Sears et al. (1995) study, the effects of higher frequency neighbours in the model have not been examined. Consequently, unlike the serial-search and activation-based models, where more specific predictions have been made, the predictions of the Seidenberg and McClelland model are much less clear. In light of the controversy over the effects of orthographic neighbours on the word recognition process and which of these types of models provides the superior account of that process, it would seem important to establish what the predictions of this model are.

Several researchers have, of course, shown that the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) model has a number of serious problems. In particular, the model has difficulty accurately pronouncing nonwords and certain exception words, and in explaining lexical decision performance in general (Besner, Twilley, McCann, & Seergobin, 1990; Coltheart, Curtis, Atkins, & Haller, 1993; Fera & Besner, 1992). A more recent implementation of the model (Plaut, McClelland, Seidenberg, and Patterson, 1996; Simulation 4) is, however, able to pronounce nonwords as well as skilled readers can. Moreover, the model goes some way towards implementing the lexical-semantic pathway that the Seidenberg and McClelland simulation omitted. Like the Seidenberg and McClelland model, the Plaut et al. (1996) model is a feed-forward network, and an error score - in this case, cross-entropy error -- measures how close the model's output is to the correct pronunciation, with lower cross-entropy errors, presumably, corresponding to shorter pronunciation latencies. To our knowledge, the effects of orthographic neighbours in this model have not been examined at all. (Note that the Plaut et al. model does not simulate lexical decision performance, although preliminary efforts to do so have been made; Plaut, 1997. In what follows, we assume that the effects of orthographic neighbours on both naming and lexical decision performance will be quite similar in these types of models. As will be seen, this clearly does turn out to be the case for the Seidenberg & McClelland model.) Thus, the purpose of this investigation was to determine what effect, if any, orthographic neighbours have in both of these models. By pursuing this goal, the models' success in accommodating current and future findings can be better evaluated.

Method

STIMULI

The training set for the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) model consisted of 2,897 monosyllabic words of three or more letters in length. Because most of the previous studies on orthographic neighbourhood effects have used stimuli of four or five letters in length (e.g., Andrews, 1989, 1992; Forster & Shen, 1996; Grainger et al., 1989; Sears et al.,1995), only the error scores for four- and five-letter words were examined in the following analyses.1 In addition, because a logarithmic transformation of Kucera and Francis's (1967) normative frequencies was employed in the regression analyses, words with normative frequencies of zero were excluded from the stimulus set. The final set of stimuli used in the present analyses consisted of 2,073 words. For each of these words, the Kucera and Francis normative frequency, the number of orthographic neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours were determined. The statistical properties (mean and range) for each of these variables were as follows: normative frequency (91.4, 1-10,595); number of neighbours (7.03, 0-24); number of higher frequency neighbours (2.61, 0-21).

The training set for the Plant et al. (1996) model (Simulation 4) consisted of the 2,897 words in the Seidenberg and McClelland model's corpus plus an additional 101 words.2 To allow direct comparisons between this model and the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) model, the same 2,073 words selected from the Seidenberg and McClelland corpus were also used in the analyses of the Plaut et al. model.

Results

EFFECTS OF NEIGHBOURHOOD SIZE

In the first analysis, the mean orthographic and phonological error scores from Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) model for words with large and small neighbourhoods were examined. Consistent with most of the previous literature, in this and the related analyses (although not in the multiple regression analyses), words with less than five neighbours were classified as small neighbourhood words and words with five or more neighbours were classified as large neighbourhood words. Using these criteria, 951 of the words had small neighbourhoods, and 1,122 had large neighbourhoods. The mean orthographic error score for the words with large neighbourhoods (6.49) was significantly lower than the mean orthographic error score for the words with small neighbourhoods (9.82), t(2071) = 16.77, SE = 0.19. (Unless otherwise stated, the p values for all significant statistics reported in the text are less than .05.) Similarly, words with large neighbourhoods had, on average, lower phonological error scores than words with small neighbourhoods (4.37 versus 5.65), t(2071) = 8.66, SE - 0.14.

Cross-entropy error scores from the Plaut et al. (1996) simulation were submitted to the identical analysis. As was the case with the orthographic and phonological error scores, the mean error score for the words with large neighbourhoods (0.0482) was significantly lower than the mean error score for the words with small neighbourhoods (0.0723), t(2071) = 8.95, SE = 0.003.

As previously noted, several investigators have reported interactions between word frequency and neighbourhood size. In Andrews' (1989) experiments, for example, lexical decision and naming latencies for low frequency words with large neighbourhoods were shorter than those for low frequency words with small neighbourhoods. For high frequency words, however, large neighbourhoods had little or no effect on response latencies. Consequently, it is of some interest to determine whether an analogous pattern of data would be found in the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) and Plaut et al. (1996) simulations' error scores. To this end, the error scores for high frequency and low frequency words with large and small neighbourhoods were submitted to a 2 (Word Frequency: high versus low) x 2 (Neighbourhood Size: small versus large) analysis of variance. For the purposes of this analysis, words with normative frequencies greater than or equal to 100 were considered high frequency words, and words with normative frequencies less than or equal to 50 were considered low frequency words. Words with frequencies between 51 and 99 (inclusive) were not used in this analysis. (The mean neighbourhood sizes for the low frequency words with small neighbourhoods and the low frequency words with large neighbourhoods were 2.89 and 11.OS, respectively. For the high frequency words, the mean neighbourhood sizes were 2.92 and 10.32 for the small neighbourhood and the large neighbourhood words, respectively.) The mean error scores for these stimuli are listed in Table 1.

In the analysis of Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) orthographic error scores, there was a main effect of word frequency, F1, 1881)= 296.99, MSE = 18.11, a main effect of neighbourhood size, F(1, 1881) = 54.77, MSE = 18.11, and an interaction between word frequency and neighbourhood size, F(1, 1881) = 43.96, MSE = 18.11. For the phonological error scores, there was also a main effect of word frequency, F(1,1881)= 100.86, MSE = 10.88, a main effect of neighbourhood size, F(1, 1881) = 8.73, MSE = 10.88, and a significant interaction, F(1, 1881) = 19.80, MSE = 10.88. For the high frequency words, the mean orthographic error scores for the small neighbourhood and large neighbourhood words were quite similar and not significantly different, t(298) = 1.42, SE - 0.14, as were the mean phonological error scores, t(298) = 1.19, SE = 0.26. In contrast, low frequency words with large neighbourhoods had significantly lower orthographic error scores than low frequency words with small neighbourhoods, t(1583) = 16.53, SE = 0.23. This was true for the phonological error scores as well, t(1583) = 9.02, SE = 0.17.

An analysis of Plaut et al.'s (1996) cross-entropy error scores revealed an identical pattern of results. There was a main effect of word frequency, F(1, 1881)= 125.00, MSE = 0.004, a main effect of neighbourhood size, F(1, 1881) = 13.18, MSE = 0.004, and a significant interaction, F(1, 1881) = 12.05, MSE - 0.004. For high frequency words, there was no significant difference in the mean cross-entropy errors for the words with small and large neighbourhoods, t(298) = .29, SE = 0.002. However, low frequency words with large neighbourhoods had lower cross-entropy error scores than low frequency words with small neighbourhoods, t(1583) = 8.37, SE = 0.003. Thus, the Plaut et al. model, like the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) model, captures the interaction between word frequency and neighbourhood size reported in the literature. That is, both models predict that low frequency words with large neighbourhoods should be processed faster than low frequency words with small neighbourhoods; however, there should be little evidence of a neighbourhood size effect for high frequency words.

EFFECTS OF HIGHER FREQUENCY NEIGHBOURS

To evaluate the effects of higher frequency neighbours in a word's orthographic neighbourhood, error scores for words with and without higher frequency neighbours were examined. Because the existence of higher frequency neighbours is correlated with word frequency (i.e., low frequency words are more likely to have a higher frequency neighbour), separate analyses of the low frequency and high frequency words were conducted. For the purposes of this analysis, words with normative frequencies greater than or equal to 100 were considered high frequency words, and words with normative frequencies less than or equal to 50 were considered low frequency words. Words with frequencies between 51 and 99 (inclusive) were not used in this analysis.

As shown in Table 2, the mean Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) orthographic error score for the low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours was substantially lower than the mean orthographic error score for the low frequency words with no higher frequency neighbours, t(1583) - 7.87, SE - 0.32. Phonological error scores were also lower for low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours, t(1583) = 3.98, SE - 0.23, as were Plaut et al.'s (1996) cross-entropy error scores, t(1583) = 3.05, SE =0.004.

A less consistent pattern of results emerged in the analysis of the high frequency words. The mean Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) orthographic error scores for high frequency words with and without higher frequency neighbours were not significantly different, t(298) = 1.55, SE = 1.47, nor were the mean Plaut et al. (1996) cross-entropy error scores, t(298) = 1.26, SE = .002. However, high frequency words with higher frequency neighbours had significantly higher Seidenberg and McClelland phonological error scores than high frequency words without higher frequency neighbours, t(298) = 2.07, SE = .26.

With regard to the processing of low frequency words, the basic conclusion that these results suggest is that, according to the models, the presence of higher frequency neighbours in a low frequency word's orthographic neighbourhood should actually be beneficial to processing. Thus, both models will have great difficulty accommodating the inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects reported by Grainger and colleagues (e.g., Grainger, 1990), because in those studies responses to low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours were slower than the responses to low frequency words without higher frequency neighbours. For the high frequency words the interpretation is not as straightforward, but we will defer any discussion of these findings until after the multiple regression analyses have been presented.3

MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSES

According to the previous analyses, the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) and Plaut et al. (1996) models both predict that, for low frequency words, large neighbourhoods and higher frequency neighbours should facilitate word identification and naming. However, because word frequency, neighbourhood size, and neighbourhood frequency are all correlated with one another to varying degrees, converging evidence on these issues should also be obtained through the use of multiple regression analyses. To this end, multiple regression analyses were conducted for each of the three types of error scores.

In the first analysis, the entire data set of 2,073 words was analyzed. The predictor variables were log word frequency, the number of orthographic neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours (the predictor variables were entered simultaneously).4 Partial correlation coefficients were computed to assess the unique correlation between the models' error scores and each of the predictor variables, and are listed in Table 3. In the multiple regression analysis of Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) orthographic error scores, 44.6% of the variance was explained by these three variables, F(3, 2069) = 556.60, MSE = 12.73. There were significant negative partial correlations for word frequency, the number of neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours. Specifically, a larger number of neighbours, the existence of higher frequency neighbours, and higher word frequency were associated with lower orthographic error scores when the effects of the other two variables were partialled out.

For Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) phonological error scores, 18.4% of the variance was explained by these variables, F(3, 2069) = 155.76, MSE = 9.42. Once again, there were significant negative partial correlations between the phonological error scores and word frequency, the number of neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours. Although the magnitude of the partial correlations was smaller than those in the orthographic error scores analysis, the pattern of results was identical. In particular, a larger number of neighbours, the existence of higher frequency neighbours, and higher word frequency were associated with significantly lower phonological error scores. For Plaut et al.'s (1996) cross-entropy error scores, 24.6% of the variance was explained by these variables, F(3, 2069) = 226.02, MSE = 0.002. Again, there were significant negative partial correlations between these error scores and word frequency, the number of neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours.

Because most investigators have focused on orthographic neighbourhood effects for low frequency words, separate regression analyses were conducted on this subset of the stimuli (i.e., words with normative frequencies less than or equal to 50). The analysis of Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) orthographic error scores revealed that log word frequency, neighbourhood size, and the number of higher frequency neighbours accounted for 40.0% of the variance, F(3, 1581) = 351.78, MSE = 14.94. The partial correlations are listed in Table 3. There were significant negative partial correlations for word frequency, the number of neighbours, and the number of higher frequency neighbours. Similarly, the partial correlations between the phonological error scores and these variables were all significant and negative. Together these variables accounted for 18.0% of the variance, F(3, 1581) = 116.01, MSE = 10.32. In the analysis of Plaut et al.'s (1996) cross-entropy error scores, there were significant negative partial correlations for word frequency and the number of neighbours, but the partial correlation between cross-entropy error and the number of higher frequency neighbours (-.04) was not statistically significant (p = .11). Together these variables accounted for 23.4% of the variance, F(3, 1581) = 161.82, MSE = 0.003.

Finally, separate regression analyses were conducted on the set of high frequency words (i.e., words with normative frequencies greater than or equal to 100). In the analysis of Seidenberg and McClelland's (1989) orthographic error scores, log word frequency, neighbourhood size, and the number of higher frequency neighbours accounted for 8.9% of the variance, F(3, 296) = 9.72, MSE - 1.45. There were significant partial correlations for word frequency and for the number of higher frequency neighbours, but not for the number of neighbours. In contrast, for Seidenberg and McClelland's phonological error scores there was a significant negative partial correlation for neighbourhood size, a significant positive partial correlation for the number of higher frequency neighbours, but no significant partial correlation for word frequency. Together these variables accounted for 16.6% of the variance, F(3, 296) = 19.67, MSE = 4.35. Similarly, for Plaut et al.'s (1996) cross-entropy error scores there was a significant negative partial correlation for neighbourhood size, a significant positive partial correlation for the number of higher frequency neighbours, but no significant partial correlation for word frequency. A total of 6.1% of the variance was explained by these variables, F(3, 296) - 6.47, MSE-0.0003.5

Discussion

The important findings of this investigation are as follows. First, words with large neighbourhoods had lower orthographic, phonological, and cross-entropy error scores than words with small neighbourhoods. Importantly, only the low frequency words benefitted from the presence of a large neighbourhood, as the error scores for high frequency words with large and small neighbourhoods were not significantly different from one another. Consequently, as noted, both models capture the interaction between word frequency and neighbourhood size that Andrews (1989, 1992) and Sears et al. (1995) have reported.

Second, compared to low frequency words with no higher frequency neighbours, low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours had, on average, lower orthographic, phonological, and cross-entropy error scores. As noted, this result suggests that both models will have difficulties accommodating the inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects reported by Grainger and colleagues, although they would appear to be quite consistent with the facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effects reported by Sears et al. (1995, in press).

Third, the regression analyses indicated that, for low frequency words, the number of neighbours and the number of higher frequency neighbours were independently (negatively) correlated with both models' error scores. That is, when the effects of word frequency and the number of higher frequency neighbours were partialled out, larger neighbourhood size was associated with lower orthographic, phonological, and cross-entropy error scores. Similarly, when the effects of word frequency and the number of neighbours were partialled out, the existence of higher frequency neighbours was associated with lower error scores in both of the models. Consequently, both models predict that, for low frequency words, large neighbourhoods and higher frequency neighbours should facilitate word recognition and naming independently of one another.

The results for the high frequency words were slightly different. For high frequency words, the existence of higher frequency neighbours was associated with higher, not lower, phonological and cross-entropy error scores (although this was not the case for the orthographic error scores). According to the models then, pronunciation latencies to high frequency words with higher frequency neighbours should be slower than those to high frequency words without higher frequency neighbours. At present it is difficult to evaluate this prediction because there has been only one published experiment which has examined the effect of higher frequency neighbours for high frequency words in a pronunciation task (Sears et al., 1995; Experiment 2). In that experiment, pronunciation latencies to high frequency words with and without higher frequency neighbours were not significantly different from one another. While this result casts some doubt on the empirical validity of this particular prediction, additional studies will be necessary before any definitive conclusions can be reached.

It is worth noting, however, that the mean phonological error score for Sears et al.'s (1995) high frequency words with higher frequency neighbours (3.05) was lower, not higher, than the mean phonological error score for their high frequency words without higher frequency neighbours (3.15). This was true of the cross-entropy error scores as well (0.0222 versus 0.0241, respectively, for the words with and without higher frequency neighbours). Thus, the naming latencies to this particular sample of high frequency words do not provide a fair test of the models' predictions with regard to neighbourhood frequency effects for high frequency words.

Relatedly, an examination of the models' error scores in experiments that have reported conflicting neighbourhood effects may provide information useful for ascertaining the source of these descrepancies. Consider, for example, Perea and Pollatsek's (1998) Experiment 1, where lexical decision latencies to low frequency words with higher frequency neighbours were slower than those to low frequency words without higher frequency neighbours (an inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effect), and Sears et al.'s (1995) Experiment 4a, where a facilitatory neighbourhood frequency was observed. An examination of the orthographic error scores for Perea and Pollatsek's stimuli revealed that their words with higher frequency neighbours had a higher mean orthographic error score (9.45) than their words without higher frequency neighbours (9.09), whereas Sears et al.'s words with higher frequency neighbours had a lower mean orthographic error score (7.32) than words without higher frequency neighbours (7.51). Thus, according to the Seidenberg and McClelland model, and consistent with the findings of these investigators, the neighbourhood frequency effect should have been inhibitory in the Perea and Pollatsek experiment, and facilitatory in the Sears et al. experiment, exactly as observed. (Note that the mean orthographic error scores used in these comparisons are based on a restricted set of words, as the Seidenberg and McClelland model was trained with 51% of the words from Perea and Pollatsek's experiment and 86% of the words from Sears et al.'s experiment.)

Another result of note is the consistency in the pattern of orthographic neighbourhood effects in both models. Although the Plaut et al. (1996) simulation is superior to the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) simulation in several important ways (most notably its superior performance pronouncing nonwords), the effects of orthographic neighbours in the models is strikingly similar. No doubt this is due to the common principle embodied in the two models - low frequency words with many neighbours, or with higher frequency neighbours, will have their pattern of activity strengthened many times during training, which will facilitate their processing.

The implications of these findings for the two theories are fairly clear. Although there is currently some empirical controversy as to whether higher frequency orthographic neighbours facilitate or inhibit lexical processing, the Seidenberg and McClelland (1989) and the Plaut et al. (1996) models do make very specific predictions in this regard. In this respect, these models will have great difficulty accommodating the inhibitory neighbourhood frequency effects reported by Grainger and colleagues, because for low frequency words, the existence of higher frequency neighbours was associated with lower, not higher, orthographic, phonological, and cross-entropy error scores. On the other hand, these models would seem to be quite compatible with the facilitatory neighbourhood size effects reported by Andrews (1989, 1992), as well as the facilitatory neighbourhood frequency effects reported by Sears et al. (1995, in press). Clearly, any judgements about the models' ultimate success in accommodating orthographic neighbourhood effects must await a resolution of any empirical controversies. In the meantime, investigators will now have a better understanding of what these models have to say about the effects of orthographic neighbours.

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Date of Acceptance: March 23, 1999

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Sommaire

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Les voisins orthographiques d'un mot sont les mots qui peuvent etre crees en changeant une lettre sans modifier pour autant la position des autres lettres (Coltheart, Davelaar, Jonasson et Besner, 1977). Par exemple, les mots PINE, POLE et TILE sont tous des voisins orthographiques du mot PILE. Un certain nombre de recherches realisees au cours des dernieres annees ont cherche a expliquer comment le temps d'attente precedant l'identification d'un mot varie en fonction des diverses caracteristiques des voisins orthographiques d'un mot (voir Andrews, 1997), et il existe aujourd'hui une considerable base de donnees, bien que contradictoires quelquefois, sur le sujet.

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Beaucoup de modeles du processus de reconnaissance d'un mot (p. ex. les modeles de recherche-serie, d'activation) presument de facon explicte que les representations lexicales des voisins orthographiques d'un mot presente seront generees et joueront un role determinant dans le processus de selection lexicale. Il est possible par consequent d'identifier les predictions specifiques que ces modeles font a propos des incidences des voisins orthographiques, et de proceder a une analyse empirique d'un certain nombre d'entre elles. Par

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opposition, les implications de ces memes incidences pour les modeles de traitement parallele reparti de Seidenberg et McClelland (1989) et de Plaut, McClelland, Seidenberg et Patterson (1996) ont suscite relativement peu d'attention. Plusieurs analyses statistiques des taux d'erreur associes a ces types de modeles font l'objet du present document. Voici les principaux resultats obtenus. Premierement, les mots possedant un vaste voisinage orthographique affichaient un taux d'erreur inferieur pour ce qui concerne l'orthographe, la phonologie et l'entropie reciproque que les mots au voisinage orthographique plus limite. Ces differences, toutefois, n'ont ete observees que pour les mots a frequence peu elevee. Aussi, les deux modeles refletaient l'interaction entre la frequence d'un mot et la taille du voisinage orthographique que Andrews (1989; 1992) puis Sears, Hino et Lupker (1995) ont signalee.

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Deuxiemement, si on les compare a des mots dont les voisins orthographiques n'ont pas une frequence elevee,les mots dont le contraire est vrai avaient, en moyenne, un taux d'erreur moindre pour ce qui concerne l'orthographe, la phonologie et l'entropie r'iproque. Ce resultat suggere que

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les deux modeles auront des difficultes a tenir compte des effets inhibiteurs associes a la frequence du voisinage orthographique et qu'ont signales Grainger et ses collegues (Grainger, 1990; Grainger et Jacobs, 1996; Grainger, O'Regan, Jacobs et Segui, 1989; Grainger et Segui, 1990; Jacobs et Grainger, 1992), bien que les modeles sont relativement en mesure de tenir compte des effets facilitateurs associes a la frequence du voisinage orthographique qu'ont signales Sears et ses collegues (1995) puis Sears, Lupker et Hino (sous presse).

Troisiemement, les analyses de regression ont demontre que, dans le cas des mots a frequence peu elevee, il y avait une correlation negative et independante entre, d'une part, le nombre de voisins en general et le nombre de voisins a frequence plus elevee, d'autre part, les taux d'erreur des deux modeles. En d'autres mots, lorsqu'on elimine les effets de la

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frequence d'un mot et du nombre de voisins a frequence plus elevee, un plus grand nombre de voisins affichaient un faible taux d'erreur pour ce qui concerne l'orthographe, la phonologie et l'entropie reciproque. Par consequent, les deux modeles predisent que, regle generale, et les voisinages orthographiques nombreux et les voisins a frequence plus elevee devraient engendrer un traitement plus rapide des mots a frequence peu elevee dans pratiquement tous les exercices de reconnaissance d'un mot.

Bien sur, tout jugement par rapport a la capacite fondamentale des modeles de tenir compte des effets du voisinage orthographique doit attendre la resolution des controverses empiriques courantes mais, d'ici la, les chercheurs auront une meilleure idee des predictions de ces modeles relativement aux effets des voisins orthographiques.

[Author Affiliation]

CHRISTOPHER R. SEARS, University of Calgary

YASUSHI HINO, Chukyo University

STEPHEN J. LUPKER, University of Western Ontario

[Author Affiliation]

We thank Jennifer Chesson for creating the data sets that were analyzed in this study, and Theresa Kline for statistical advice. We also thank Sally Andrews and Ron Borowsky for their very helpful reviews. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Christopher R. Sears, Department of Psychology, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive, Calgary, Alberta T2N 1N4 (E-mail: sears@ucalgary.ca).